Justification for the overthrow of Assad as aiding Israel against Iran - From the letters of Hillary Clinton

UNCLASSIFIED US Department of State Case No. F-2014-20439 Doc No. C05794498 Date: 11/30/2015

The best way to help Israel in the problem with the growing nuclear potential of Iran is to help the people of Syria in overthrowing the regime of Bashar Assad.

Negotiations to limit Iran's nuclear program will not solve the security dilemma of Israel.

And they will not stop Iran from improving an important part of the program to build nuclear weapons - an opportunity for enriching uranium.

At best, negotiations between the major world powers and Iran,

Which began in Istanbul in April this year and will continue in Baghdad in May, will allow Israel to postpone for several months the decision to launch an attack on Iran, which could provoke a large Middle East war

Iran's nuclear program and the civil war in Syria may seem unrelated, but it's not.

For Israeli leaders, the real threat from Iran's nuclear weapons in the long run is an unprovoked Iranian nuclear attack on Israel, which would lead to the destruction of both countries.

What exactly is worried about the military leaders of Israel - but can not talk about it aloud - is the loss of their nuclear monopoly.

Iranian nuclear weapons will not only put an end to this nuclear monopoly, but may also induce other adversaries, such as Saudi Arabia and Egypt, to also have nuclear weapons.

The result will be an unstable nuclear balance in which Israel can not react to provocations with its usual military strikes against Syria and Lebanon,

How can he do it today. If Iran creates nuclear weapons, it will be much easier for Tehran to call its allies in Syria and Hezbollah to strike at Israel, knowing that its nuclear weapons will serve as a deterrent to Israel.

The strategic relationship between Iran and the Bashar Assad regime in Syria can undermine the security of Israel - not through a direct attack that never happened in thirty years of hostility between Iran and Israel, but through its proxy in Lebanon, such as Hezbollah, who are armed and trained by Iran through Syria.

The end of Assad's regime will end this dangerous alliance. The leadership of Israel is well aware of why to defeat Assad in his interests. In an interview with CNN's "Amanpour show" last week, Defense Minister Ehud Barak stated that "the overthrow of Assad will be a serious blow to the radical axis, the main blow to Iran ...."

This is the only outpost of Iranian influence in the Arab world ... and it will greatly weaken Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas and Islamic Jihad in the Gaza Strip. "

The overthrow of Assad will not only be the overall blessing for the security of Israel, but it would also remove the understandable fear of Israel of losing its nuclear monopoly.

Israel and the United States could then develop a common view that the Iranian program is so dangerous that military action can be justified.

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In short, the White House can ease the tensions that have developed with Israel over Iran, doing the right things in Syria.

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The Obama Administration fears participation in an air operation in Syria, by the same analogy as in Libya for three main reasons.

Unlike the Libyan opposition, the Syrian rebels are not unified and do not hold territory. The League of Arab States does not call for military intervention from outside, as it was in Libya.

And the Russians are against it.

Libya was a simpler case. But aside from the laudable goal of saving Libyan civilians from possible attacks from the Gaddafi regime, the Libyan operation did not have long-term consequences for the region.

Syria is more complicated. But success in Syria will be a transformative event for the Middle East. Little of,

That another ruthless dictator will stop suppressing the mass opposition in the streets, but the region will be changed for the better, as Iran will no longer have a foothold in the Middle East, which it threatens Israel and undermines stability in the region.

Unlike Libya,

Successful intervention in Syria will require considerable diplomatic and military support from the United States. Washington must begin to express its willingness to work with regional allies like Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Organize training and arm Syrian rebels.

The announcement of such a decision will,

In itself, is likely to cause considerable desertion from the Syrian army. Then, using the territory of Turkey and, perhaps, Jordan, American diplomats and officials, the Pentagon may begin to strengthen the opposition.

It will take some time. But the uprising will continue for a long time, with or without US participation.

The second step is to develop international support for the coalition operation from the air.

Russia will never support such a mission, so there is no point in acting through the UN Security Council.

Some argue that US involvement risks a broader war with Russia. But the example of Kosovo shows the opposite.

In this case, Russia had genuine ethnic and political ties with the Serbs, which do not exist between Russia and Syria, and even then Russia is slightly more than complained.

Russian officials have already admitted that they will not stand in the way if there is an intervention.

Arming the Syrian rebels and using Western air forces to attack the parking of Syrian helicopters and aircraft will be inexpensive and highly effective. As long as Washington's political leaders claim that no US ground forces will be deployed, as it was in Kosovo and Libya,

Spending in the US will be limited.

Victory can not come quickly and easily, but it will come. And the winnings will be significant. Iran will be strategically isolated, and will not be able to exert its influence on the Middle East.

The new regime in Syria will consider the United States a friend, not an enemy.

Washington will receive considerable recognition as a human rights advocate in the Arab world.

For Israel, the justification of the bolt from the blue attack on Iran's nuclear facilities will be weakened. And the new Syrian regime can also be open to action in the frozen peace talks with Israel.

Hezbollah in Lebanon will be cut off from its Iranian sponsor, as Syria will no longer be a transit point for Iranian training, assistance and missiles. All these strategic advantages and prospects for saving thousands of civilians from killing at the hands of the Assad regime (10,000 were already killed in the first year of the civil war).

Having removed the veil of fear, the Syrian people will fight for their freedom. America can and must help them - and thereby help Israel and help reduce the risk of a wider war